Grice, "Mill's Induction" -- The Grice Archive

--- This is folder 31 of Carton 7.

--- It's more mill to the grice.

--- (my misquoting of the proverb).

J. S. Mill

From wiki:

"Mill's Methods are five methods of induction

described by Mill in his 1843 book A System of Logic.

They are intended to illuminate issues of causation."

"Three of these methods, viz. the methods of agreement,

difference and concomitant variation, were

first described by Avicenna, a.k.a. Abu Ali Sina Balkhi, in his 1025 book The Canon

of Medicine.[1][2]"


"The remaining two methods, viz. the method of residues

and the joint method of agreement and difference, were first described by Mill."


Direct Method of agreement

"If two or more instances of the phenomenon under investigation have only one circumstance in common, the circumstance in which alone all the instances agree, is the cause (or effect) of the given phenomenon."

"For a property to be a necessary condition it must always be present if the effect is present. Since this is so, then we are interested in looking at cases where the effect is present and taking note of which properties, among those considered to be 'possible necessary conditions' are present and which are absent. Obviously, any properties which are absent when the effect is present cannot be necessary conditions for the effect."

"Symbolically, the method of agreement can be represented as follows."

A B C D occur together with w x y z

A E F G occur together with w t u v

——————————————————

Therefore A is the cause, the effect, or part of the cause of w.


Method of difference

“If an instance in which the phenomenon under investigation occurs, and an instance in which it does not occur, have every circumstance in common save one, that one occurring only in the former; the circumstance in which alone the two instances differ, is the effect, or the cause, or an indispensable part of the cause, of the phenomenon.”

A B C D occur together with w x y z

B C D occur together with x y z

——————————————————

Therefore A is the cause, or the effect, or a part of the cause of w.

III.

Joint method of agreement and difference

"If two or more instances in which the phenomenon occurs have only one circumstance in common, while two or more instances in which it does not occur have nothing in common save the absence of that circumstance: the circumstance in which alone the two sets of instances differ, is the effect, or cause, or a necessary part of the cause, of the phenomenon."

Also called simply the "joint method," this principle simply represents the application of the methods of agreement and difference.

Symbolically, the Joint method of agreement and difference can be represented as:

A B C occur together with x y z

A D E occur together with x y w also B C occur with y z

——————————————————

Therefore A is the cause, or the effect, or a part of the cause of x.

IV. Method of residues


"Mill: "Deduct from any phenomenon such part as is known by previous inductions to be the effect of certain antecedents, and the residue of the phenomenon is the effect of the remaining antecedents.""

"If a range of factors are believed to cause a range of phenomena, and we have matched all the factors, except one, with all the phenomena, except one, then the remaining phenomenon can be attributed to the remaining factor."

Symbolically, the Method of residues can be represented as:

A B C occur together with x y z

B is known to be the cause of y

C is known to be the cause of z

——————————————————

Therefore A is the cause or effect of x.

V. Method of concomitant variations

"Whatever phenomenon varies in any manner whenever another phenomenon varies in some particular manner, is either a cause or an effect of that phenomenon, or is connected with it through some fact of causation."

"If across a range of circumstances leading to a phenomenon, some property of the phenomenon varies in tandem with some factor existing in the circumstances, then the phenomenon can be attributed to that factor. For instance, suppose that various samples of water, each containing both salt and lead, were found to be toxic. If the level of toxicity varied in tandem with the level of lead, one could attribute the toxicity to the presence of lead."

Symbolically, the method of concomitant variation can be represented as (with ↑ representing an increase):

A B C occur together with x y z

A↑ B C results in x↑ y z.

—————————————————————

Therefore A and x are causally connected

1.^ Lenn Evan Goodman (2003), Islamic Humanism, p. 155, Oxford University Press, ISBN 0195135806.
2.^ Lenn Evan Goodman (1992), Avicenna, p. 33, Routledge, ISBN 041501929X.
[edit] References
Copi, Irving; Carl Cohen (2001). Introduction to Logic. Prentice Hall. ISBN 0130337358
Ducheyne, Steffen (2008). J.S. Mill’s Canons of Induction: From true causes to provisional ones. History and Philosophy of Logic, volume 29, number 4, 2008, pp. 361-376.
Kreeft, Peter (2009). Socratic Logic, A Logic Text Using Socratic Method, Platonic Questions, and Aristotelian Principles. St. Augustine's Press, South Bend, Indiana.
[edit] External links
Causal Reasoning - Provides some examples
Mill's methods for identifying causes - Provides some examples