Grice's Ignorance

Speranza

Speranza

Are there implicatures connected with ignorance?

Grice discusses Strawson's treatment of 'or':

"My wife is in the kitchen OR in the garden".

Implicature: Heaven knows where.

In "On The Sources Of Knowledge and IGNORANCE", Sir Karl Raimund Popper, as he delivered the Annual Philosophical Lecture read before the British Academy on January 20th, 1960, dealt more or less with the same topic. More less than more.

Oddly, Grice's Annual Philosophical Lecture at Cumberland House (as some like to refer to this) came out slightly later, in 1971.

Popper's essay was first published in the Proceedings of the British Academy, 46, 1960, and separately by Oxford University Press, 1961.

Ditto with Grice: 1971 and 1971.

Some running commentary

Popper starts his lecture with three epigraphs:


Benedetto di Spinoza says:

"It follows, therefore, that truth manifests itself."

John Locke writes:

"Every man carries about him a touchstone to distinguish truth from appearances."

David Home writes:

"It is impossible for us to think of any thing, which we have not antecedently felt, either by ourexternal or internal senses."

Popper starts: "The title of this lecture is likely, I fear, to offend some critical ears."

Titles, in general, should be ignored. Alice was well aware of this:


The name of the song is called 'Haddocks' Eyes.''

'Oh, that's the name of the song, is it?' Alice said, trying to feel interested.

'No, you don't understand,' the Knight said, looking a little vexed. 'That's what the name
is called. The name really is 'The Aged, Aged Man.''

'Then I ought to have said 'That's what the song is called'?' Alice corrected herself.

'No you oughtn't: that's another thing. The song is called 'Ways and Means' but that's only
what it's called, you know!'

'Well, what is the song then?' said Alice, who was by this time completely bewildered.

'I was coming to that,' the Knight said. 'The song really is 'A-sitting On a Gate': and the
tune's my own invention.'

As Gardner notes ("The Annotated Alice"), "A-Sitting On a Gate" is not yet _the song_ but another of its titles.

Popper continues:

"For although ‘Sources of Knowledge’ is in order, and ‘Sources of Error’ would have been in order too, the phrase ‘Sources of Ignorance’ is another matter."

"‘Ignorance is something negative: it is the absence of knowledge. But how on earth can the absence of anything have sources?"

Descartes and Spinoza went even further, and asserted that not only ignorance but also error is 'something negative'-a 'privation' of knowledge, and even of the proper use of our freedom.

See:

Descartes' Principles
Part r, 33-42.

Descartes,
The Third and Fourth Meditations.

Also:

Spinoza,
Ethics, Part II, propos. 35 and schol.
Spinoza,
Principles of Descartes' Philosophy, Part r, propos. 15 and schol.

Nevertheless, Descartes and Spinoza speak (e.g. Ethics, Part II, propos. 41) also of the cause of falsity or error, as does Aristotle in "Metaphysica" 1046a30-35.

See also:

Aristotle,
Metaphysics, 1008b35; 1009a6; 1 052al
Aristotle,
Topica 147b29
Aristotle,
Analytica Posteriora, 79b23; and Grice's favourite Aristotle: Categoriae, l2a26-l3a35.

Popper confesses:

"This question [that something negative may have a source] was put to me by a "friend" when I confided to him the title I had chosen for this [distinguished] lecture."

"Hard pressed for a reply I found myself improvising a rationalization, and explaining to my friend that the curious linguistic effect of the title was actually intended."

I told him that I hoped to direct attention, through the phrasing of this title, to a number of unrecorded philosophical doc­trines and among them (apart from the doctrine that truth is manifest) especially to the conspiracy theory of ignorance which interprets ignorance not as a mere lack of knowledge but as the work of some sinister power, the source of impure and evil influences which pervert and poison our minds and instill in us the habit of resistance to knowledge.

I am not quite sure whether this explanation allayed my friend’s misgivings, but it did silence him.

Your case is different since you are silenced by the rules of the present transactions.

So I can only hope that I have allayed your misgivings sufficiently, for the time being, to allow me to begin my story at the other end-with the sources of knowledge rather than with the sources of ignorance.

However, I shall presently come back to the sources of ignorance, and also to the conspiracy theory of these sources.

The problem which I wish to examine afresh in this lecture, and which I hope not only to examine but to solve, may perhaps be described as an aspect of the old quarrel between the British and the Continental schools of philosophy-the quarrel between the classical empiricism of Bacon, Locke, Berkeley, Hume, and Mill, and the classical rationalism or intellectualism of Descartes, Spinoza, and Leibniz.

In this quarrel the British school insisted that the ultimate source of all knowledge was observation, while the Continental school insisted that it was the intellectual intuition of clear and distinct ideas.

Most of these issues are still very much alive.

Not only has empiri­cism, still the ruling doctrine in England, conquered the United States, but it is now widely accepted even on the European Continent as the true theory of scientific knowledge.

Cartesian intellectualism, alas, has been only too often distorted into one or another of the various forms of modern irrationalism.

In the Popper tries to show of the two schools of empiricism and rationalism that their differences are much smaller than their simi­larities, and that both are mistaken.

I hold that they are mistaken although I am myself an empiricist and a rationalist of sorts.

But I believe that, though observation and reason have each an important role to play, these roles hardly resemble those which their classical defenders attributed to them.

More especially, Popper tries to show that neither observation nor reason can be described as a source of know­ledge, in the sense in which they have been claimed to be sources of knowledge, down to the present day.

Popper's problem belongs to the theory of knowledge, or to epistemology, reputed to be the most abstract and remote and altogether irrelevant region of pure philosophy.

Hume, for example, one of the greatest thinkers in the field, predicted that, because of the remoteness and abstractness and practical irrelevance of some of his results, none of his readers would believe in them for more than an hour.

Kant’s attitude was different.

He thought that the problem

‘What can I know?’

-- as opposed to

'What can I ignore?'

-- was one of the three most important questions a man could ask.

Lord Russell, in spite of being closer to Hume in philosophic temperament, seems to side in this matter with Kant. And I think Russell is right when he attributes to epistemology practical con­sequences for science, ethics, and even politics. For he says that episemological relativism, or the idea that there is no such thing as objective truth, and epistemological pragmatism, or the idea that truth is the same as usefulness, are closely linked with authoritarian and totalitarian ideas.

Cf. Russell, Let The People Think.

Lord Russell’s views are of course disputed.

Some recent philosophers have developed a doctrine of the essential impotence and practical irrelevance of all genuine philosophy, and thus, one can assume, of epistemology.

Philosophy, they say, cannot by its very nature have any significant consequences, and so it can influence neither science nor politics.

But I think that ideas are dangerous and powerful things, and that even philosophers have sometimes produced ideas.

Indeed, I do not doubt that this new doctrine of the impotence of all philosophy is amply refuted by the facts.

The situation is really very simple.

The belief of a liberal-the belief in the possibility of a rule of law, of equal justice, of fundamental rights, and a free society can easily survive the recognition that judges are not omniscient and may make mistakes about facts and that, in practice, absolute justice is never fully realized in any particular legal case.

But the belief in the possibility of a rule of law, of justice, and of freedom, can hardly survive the acceptance of an epistemology which teaches that there are no objective facts; not merely in this particular case, but in any other case; and that the judge cannot have made a factual mistake because he can no more be wrong about the facts than he can be right.

The great movement of liberation which started in the Renaissance and led through the many vicissitudes of the reformation and the religious and revolutionary wars to the free societies in which the English ­speaking peoples are privileged to live, this movement was inspired throughout by an unparalleled epistemological optimism: by a most optimistic view of man’s power to discern truth and to acquire knowledge.

At the heart of this new optimistic view of the possibility of know­ledge lies the doctrine that truth is manifest.

Truth may perhaps be veiled.

But it may reveal itself.

See my mottoes: Spinoza, of God, Man, and Human Happiness, ch. 15.

Parallel passages are:

Ethics, ii, scholium to propos. 4-3:

'Indeed, as light manifests itself and darkness, so with truth: it is its own standard, and that of falsity.' De intel!. em., 35, 36; letter 76
[74-J, end of para. 5 [7]);

Locke,
Condo Underst., 3.

Cp. also Romans, i, 19, and see ch. 17, below.

And if it does not reveal itself, it may be revealed by us.

Removing the veil may not be easy.

But once the naked truth stands revealed before our eyes, we have the power to see it, to distinguish it from falsehood, and to know that it is truth.

The birth of modern science and modern technology was inspired by this optimistic epistemology whose main spokesmen were Bacon and Descartes.

They taught that there was no need for any man to appeal to authority in matters of truth because each man carried the sources of knowledge in himself; either in his power of sense ­perception which he may use for the careful observation of nature, or in his power of intellectual intuition which he may use to distinguish truth from falsehood by refusing to accept any idea which is not clearly and distinctly perceived by the intellect.

Man can know: thus he can be free.

This is the formula which explains the link between epistemological optimism and the ideas of liberalism.

This link is paralleled by the opposite link. Disbelief in the power of human reason, in man’s power to discern the truth, is almost invariably linked with distrust of man.

Thus epistemological pessimism is linked, historically, with a doctrine of human depravity, and it tends to lead to the demand for the establishment of powerful traditions and the entrenchment of a powerful authority which would save man from his folly and his wickedness.

There is a striking sketch of this theory of authoritarianism, and a picture of the burden carried by those in authority, in the story of The Grand Inquisitor in Dostoievsky’s The Brothers Karamazov.

The contrast between epistemological pessimism and optimism may be said to be fundamentally the same as that between epistemological traditionalism and rationalism.

Popper uses the latter term in its wider sense in which it is opposed to irrationalism, and in which it covers not only Cartesian intellectualism but empiricism also.

For we can inter­pret traditionalism as the belief that, in the absence of an objective and discernible truth, we are faced with the choice between accepting the authority of tradition, and chaos; while rationalism has, of course, always claimed the right of reason and of empirical science to criticize, and to reject, any tradition, and any authority, as being based on sheer unreason or prejudice or accident.

It is a disturbing fact that even an abstract study like pure epistemology is not as pure as one might think (and as Aristotle believed) but that its ideas may, to a large extent, be motivated and unconsciously inspired by political hopes and by Utopian dreams.

This should be a warning to the epistemologist.

What can he do about it?

As an epistemologist I have only one interest-to find out the truth about the problems of epistemology, whether or not this truth fits in with my political ideas.

But am I not liable to be influenced, unconsciously, by my political hopes and beliefs?

It so happens that I am not only an empiricist and a rationalist of sorts but also a liberal (in the English sense of this term).

But just because I am a liberal, I feel that few things are more important for a liberal than to submit the various theories of liberalism to a searching critical examination.

While I was engaged in a critical examination of this kind I dis­covered the part played by certain epistemological theories in the development of liberal ideas; and especially by the various forms of epistemological optimism.

And I found that, as an epistemologist, I had to reject these epistemological theories as untenable.

This experience of mine may illustrate the point that our dreams and our hopes need not necessarily control our results, and that, in searching for the truth, it may be our best plan to start by criticizing our most cherished beliefs.

This may seem to some a perverse plan.

But it will not seem so to those who want to find the truth and are not afraid of it.

In examining the optimistic epistemology inherent in certain ideas of liberalism, I found a cluster of doctrines which, although often accepted implicitly, have not, to my knowledge, been explicitly discussed or even noticed by philosophers or historians.

The most fundamental of them is one which I have already mentioned-the doctrine that truth is mani­fest.

The strangest of them is the conspiracy theory of ignorance, which is a curious outgrowth from the doctrine of manifest truth.

By the doctrine that truth is manifest I mean, you will recall, the optimistic view that truth, if put before us naked, is always recogniz­able as truth.

Thus truth, if it does not reveal itself, has only to be unveiled, or dis-covered.

Once this is done, there is no need for further argument.

We have been given eyes to see the truth, and the natural light of reason to see it by.

This doctrine is at the heart of the teaching of both Descartes and Bacon.

Descartes based his optimistic epistemology on the important theory of the veracitas dei.

What we clearly and distinctly see to be true must indeed be true; for otherwise God would be deceiving us.

Thus the truthfulness of God must make truth manifest.

In Bacon we have a similar doctrine.

It might be described as the doctrine of the veracitas naturae, the truthfulness of Nature.

Nature is an open book.

He who reads it with a pure mind cannot misread it.

Only if his mind is poisoned by prejudice can he fall into error.

This last remark shows that the doctrine that truth is manifest creates the need to explain falsehood.

Knowledge, the possession of truth, need not be explained.

But how can we ever fall into error if truth is manifest?

The answer is: through our own sinful refusal to see the manifest truth, or because our minds harbour prejudices inculcated by education and tradition, or other evil influences which have perverted our originally pure and innocent minds.

Popper writes, rather circularly:

"IGNORANCE may be the work of powers conspiring to keep us in IGNORANCE, to poison our minds by filling them with falsehood, and to blind our eyes so that they cannot see the manifest truth."

Such prejudices and such powers, then, are sources of IGNORANCE.

The conspiracy theory of IGNORANCE is fairly well known in its Marxian form as the conspiracy of a capitalist press that perverts and suppresses truth and fills the workers’ minds with false ideologies.

Prominent among these, of course, are the doctrines of religion. It is surprising to find how unoriginal this Marxist theory is.

The wicked and fraudulent priest who keeps the people in ignorance was a stock figure of the eighteenth century and, I am afraid, one of the inspir­ations of liberalism.

It can be traced back to the protestant belief in the conspiracy of the Roman Church, and also to the beliefs of those dissenters who held similar views about the Established Church.

Elsewhere, Popper traces the pre-history of this belief back to Plato’s uncle Critias; see chapter 8, section ii, of my Open Society.

This curious belief in a conspiracy is the almost inevitable con­sequence of the optimistic belief that truth, and therefore goodness, must prevail if only truth is given a fair chance.

Let her and falsehood grapple; who ever knew Truth put to the worse, in a free and open encounter?’

Areopagitica.

Compare the French proverb, La verite triomphe toujours.


So when Milton’s Truth was put to the worse, the necessary inference was that the encounter had not been free and open.

If the manifest truth does not prevail, it must have been maliciously sup­pressed.

One can see that an attitude of tolerance which is based upon an optimistic faith in the victory of truth may easily be shaken.

See ]. W N. Watkins on Milton in The Listener, Und January 1959.

For it is liable to turn into a conspiracy theory which would be hard to reconcile with an attitude of tolerance.

I do not assert that there was never a grain of truth in this conspiracy theory.

But in the main it was a myth, just as the theory of manifest truth from which it grew was a myth.

For the simple truth is that truth is often hard to come by, and that once found it may easily be lost again.

Erroneous beliefs may have an astonishing power to survive, for thousands of years, in defiance of experience, without the aid of any conspiracy.

The history of science, and especially of medicine, could furnish us with a number of good examples.

One example is, indeed, the general conspiracy theory itself I mean the erroneous view that whenever something evil hap­pens it must be due to the evil will of an evil power.

Various forms of this view have survived down to our own day.

Thus the optimistic epistemology of Bacon and of Descartes cannot be true.

Yet perhaps the strangest thing in this story is that this false epistemology was the major inspiration of an intellectual and moral revolution without parallel in history.

It encourages men to think for themselves. It gave them hope that through knowledge they might free themselves and others from servitude and misery.

It made modern science possible. It became the basis of the fight against censorship and the suppression of free thought.

It became the basis of the non­conformist conscience, of individualism, and of a new sense of man’s dignity; of a demand for universal education, and of a new dream of a free society.

It made men feel responsible for themselves and for others, and eager to improve not only their own condition but also that of their fellow men.

It is a case of a bad idea inspiring many good ones.

This false epistemology, however, has also led to disastrous con­sequences.

The theory that truth is manifest; that it is there for every­one to see, if only he wants to see it -- this theory is the basis of almost every kind of fanaticism.

For only the most depraved wickedness can refuse to see the manifest truth; only those who have reason to fear truth conspire to suppress it.

Yet the theory that truth is manifest not only breeds fanatics -- men possessed by the conviction that all those who do not see the manifest truth must be possessed by the Devil -- but it may also lead, though perhaps less directly than does a pessimistic epistemology, to authori­tarianism.

This is so, simply, because truth is not manifest, as a rule.

The allegedly manifest truth is therefore in constant need, not only of interpretation and affirmation, but also of re- interpretation and re­affirmation.

An authority is required to pronounce upon, and lay down, almost from day to day, what is to be the manifest truth, and it may learn to do so arbitrarily and cynically.

And many disappointed epistemologists will turn away from their own former optimism and erect a resplendent authoritarian theory on the basis of a pessimistic epistemology.

It seems to me that the greatest epistemologist of all, PLATONE, exemplifies this tragic development.

PLATONE plays a decisive part in the pre-history of Descartes’ doctrine of the veracitas dei -- the doctrine that our intellectual intuition does not deceive us because God is truthful and will not deceive us; or in other words, the doctrine that our intellect is a source of knowledge because God is a source of knowledge.

This doctrine has a long history which can easily be traced back at least to OMERO and ESIODO.

To us, the habit of referring to one’s sources would seem natural in a scholar or an historian, and it is perhaps a little surprising to find that this habit stems from the poets.

But it does.

The Greek poets refer to the sources of their knowledge.

The sources are divine.

They are the Muses.

The Greek bards, Gilbert Murray observes in "The Rise of the Greek Epic", always owe, not only what we should call their inspiration, but their actual knowledge of facts to the Muses.

The Muses are present and know all things.

Hesiod always explains that he is dependent on the Muses for his knowledge.

Other sources of knowledge are indeed recognized.

But most often he consults the Muses.

So does Homer for such subjects as the Catalogue of the Greek army.


As this quotation shows, the poets were in the habit of claiming not only divine sources of inspiration, but also divine sources of knowledge-divine guarantors of the truth of their stories.

Precisely the same two claims were raised by the philosophers Eraclito and Parmenide.

ERACLITO, it seems, sees himself as a prophet who talks with raving mouth possessed by the god’-by Zeus, the source of all wisdom

DK [3. Diels-Kranz, Fmgmente der Vorsokratiker.],3 B 92, 32; cf. 93, 41,64,50).

And Parmenide, one could almost say, forms the missing link be­tween Homer or Hesiod on the one side and Descartes on the other.

His guiding star and inspiration is the goddess Dike, described by Eraclito as the guardian of truth.

Parmenides describes her as the guardian and keeper of the keys of truth, and as the source of all his knowledge.

But Parmenides and Descartes have more in com­mon than the doctrine of divine veracity.

For example, Parmenides is told by his divine guarantor of truth that in order to distinguish be­tween truth and falsehood, he must rely upon the intellect alone, to the exclusion of the senses of sight, hearing, and taste.

Cf. Heraclitus, B 54, 123; 88 and 126 hint at unobservable changes yielding observable opposites.)

And even the principle of his physical theory which, like Descartes, he founds upon his intellectualist theory of knowledge, is the same as that adopted by Descartes.

This is the impossibility of a void, the necessary fullness of the world.

In PLATONE's "Ione", a sharp distinction is made between divine inspiration-the divine frenzy of the poet-and the divine sources or origins of true knowledge.

The topic is further developed in the "Fedro", especially from 25ge on; and in 275b-c Plato even insists, as Harold Cherniss pointed out to me, on the distinction between ques­tions of origin and of truth.

Plato grants that the poets are inspired, but he denies to them any divine authority for their alleged knowledge of facts.

Nevertheless, the doctrine of the divine source of our know­ledge plays a decisive part in Plato’s famous theory of anamnesis which in some measure grants to each man the possession of divine sources of knowledge.

The knowledge considered in this theory is know­ledge of the essence or nature of a thing rather than of a particular historical fact.

According to Platone's "Menone", there is nothing which our immortal soul does not know, prior to our birth.

For as all natures are kindred and akin, our soul must be akin to all natures.

Accordingly it knows them all: it knows all things. (On kinship and knowledge see also Fedone, 79d; Republica, 611 d; Laws, 899d.)

In being born we forget; but we may recover our memory and our knowledge, though only partially: only if we see the truth again shall we recognize it.

All knowledge is therefore recognition, recalling or remembering the essence or true nature that we once knew (Phaedo, 72e ff.; 75e.)

Plato's theory implies that our soul is in a divine state of omniscience as long as it dwells, and participates, in a divine world of ideas or essences or natures, prior to being born.

The birth of a man is his fall from grace.

It is his fall from a natural or divine state of knowledge; and it is thus the origin and cause of his ignorance.

Here may be the seed of the idea that ignorance is sin, or at least related to sin; cpo Phaedo, 7 6d.)

It is clear that there is a close link between this theory of anamnesis and the doctrine of the divine origin or source of our knowledge.

At the same time, there is also a close link between the theory of anamnesis and the doctrine of manifest truth: if, even in our depraved state of forget­fulness, we see the truth, we cannot but recognize it as the truth.

So, as the result of anamnesis, truth is restored to the status of that which is not forgotten and not concealed ("alethes"): it is that which is manifest.

Socrates demonstrates this in a beautiful passage of the Menone by help­ing an uneducated young slave to ‘recall’ the proof of a special case of the theorem of Pythagoras.

Here indeed is an optimistic epistemology, and the root of Cartesianism.

It seems that, in the Menone, Plato was conscious of the highly optimistic character of his theory, for he describes it as a doctrine which makes men eager to learn, to search, and to discover.

Yet disappointment must have come to Plato.

For in the Republica (and also in the "Fedro") we find the beginnings of a pessimistic epistemology. In the famous story of the prisoners in the cave (5 14 ff.) he shows that the world of our experience is only a shadow, a reflection, of the real world.

And he shows that even if one of the prisoners should escape from the cave and face the real world, he would have almost insuperable difficulties in seeing and understand­ing it-to say nothing of his difficulties in trying to make those understand who stayed behind.

The difficulties in the way of an understanding of the real world are all but super-human, and only the very few, if anybody at all, can attain to the divine state of under­standing the real world-the divine state of true knowledge, of episteme.

This is a pessimistic theory with regard to almost all men, though not with regard to all.

For it teaches that truth may be attained by a few-the elect.

With regard to these it is, one might say, more wildly optimistic than even the doctrine that truth is manifest.

The authori­tarian and traditionalist consequences of this pessimistic theory are fully elaborated in the Laws.

Thus we find in Plato the first transition from an optimistic to a pessimistic epistemology.

 Each of these forms a basis for one of two diametrically opposed philosophies of the state and of society: on the one hand an anti-traditionalist, anti-authoritarian, revolutionary and Utopian rationalism of the Cartesian kind, and on the other hand an authoritarian traditionalism.


This development may well be connected with the fact that the idea of an epistemological fall of man can be interpreted not only in the sense of the optimistic doctrine of anamnesis, but also in a pessimistic sense.

In this latter interpretation, the fall of man condemns all mortals­or almost all-to ignorance.

One can discern in the story of the cave (and perhaps also in the story of the fall of the city, when the Muses and their divine teaching are neglected; see Republic, 546d) an echo of an interesting older form of this idea. I have in mind Par­menides’ doctrine that the opinions of mortals are delusions, and the result of a misguided convention.

This may stem from Xenophanes’ doctrine that all human knowledge is guesswork, and that his own theories are, at best, merely similar to the truth!)[4. Xenophanes' fragment here alluded to is DK. B 35, quoted here in ch. 5, section xii, below.

For the idea of truthlikeness---of a doctrine that partly corresponds to the facts (and so may be 'taken for real', as Parmenides has it here)---see especially pp. 320 f, below, where verisimilitude is contrasted with probability, and the Addenda 3, 4, 6, and 7.

The misguided conven­tion is a linguistic one.

It consists in giving names to what is non-existent.

The idea of an epistemological fall of man can perhaps be found, as Karl Reinhardt suggested, in those words of the goddess that mark the transition from the way of truth to the way of delusive opinion.

See Karl Reinhardt, Parmenides, 2nd ed., p. 26; see also pp. 5-11 for the text of Parmenides, DK, B I: 31-32, which are the first two lines here quoted.

My third line is Parmenides, DK, B 8: 60, cf Xenophanes, B 35.

Popper's fourth line is Parmenides, DK, B 8: 61.

"But you also shall learn how it was that delusive opinion,
Bound to be taken for real, was forcing its way through all things.


Now of this world thus arranged to seem wholly like truth I shall tell
you;
Then you will be nevermore led astray by the notions of mortals.

Thus though the fall affects all men, the truth may be revealed to the elect by an act of grace-even the truth about the unreal world of the delusions, opinions, conventional notions and decisions, of mortals: the unreal world of appearance, destined to be accepted, and to be approved of, as real.

It is interesting to contrast this pessimistic view of the necessity of error with the optimism of Descartes, or of Spinoza who scorns (letter 76[74], paragraph 5[7]) those ‘who dream of an impure spirit inspiring us with false ideas which are similar to true ones (veris similes)’: see also ch. 10, section xiv, and Mdendum 6, below.

The revelation received by Parmenides, and his conviction that a few may reach certainty about both the unchanging world of eternal reality and the unreal and changing world of verisimilitude and deception, were two of the main inspirations of plato’s philosophy.

It was a theme to which he was for ever returning, oscillating between hope, despair, and resignation.

Yet what interests us here is Plato’s optimistic epistemology, the the­ory of anamnesis in the Meno.

It contains, I believe, not only the germs of Descartes’ intellectualism, but also the germs of Aristotle’s and especially of Bacon’s theories of induction.

For Meno’s slave is helped by Socrates’ judicious questions to remember or recapture’the forgotten knowledge which his soul possessed in its pre-natal state of omniscience.

It is, I belieye, this famous Socratic method, called in the Theaetetus the art of midwifery or maieutic, to which Aristotle alluded when he said (Metaphysics, 1 078b 17-33; see also 98 7b 1) that Socrates was the inventor of the method of induction.

Aristotle, and also Bacon, I wish to suggest, meant by ‘induction’ not so much the inferring of universal laws from particular observed instances as a method by which we are guided to the point whence we can intuit or perceive the essence or the true nature of a thing.

Aristotle meant by "epagoge" at least two different things which he some­times links together.

One is a method by which we are led to intuit the general principle (Anal. Pro 67a 22 f., on anamnesis in the Meno; An. Post., 71a 7).

The other (Topics 105a 13, 156a 4; 157a 34; Anal. Posteriam 78a 35; 81b 5 ff.) is a method of adducing (particular) evidence-positive evidence rather than critical evidence or counter-examples.

The first method seems to me the older one, and the one which can be better connected with Socrates and his maieutic method of criticism and counter-examples.

The second method seems to originate in the attempt to systematize induction logically or, as Aristotle (Anal. Priam, 68b 15 ff.) puts it, to construct a valid 'syllogism which springs out of induction'.

This, to be valid, must of course be a syllogism of perfect or complete induction (com­plete enumeration of instances); and ordinary induction in the sense of the second method here mentioned is just a weakened (and invalid) form of this valid syllogism.

Cp. my Open Society, note 33 to ch. 11.)]

But this, as we have seen, is precisely the aim of Socrates’ maieutic.

Its aim is to help or lead us to anamnesis; and anamnesis is the power of seeing the true nature or essence of a thing, the nature or essence with which we were acquainted before birth, before our fall from grace.

Thus the aims of the two, maieutic and induction, are the same.

Incidentally, Aristotle taught that the result of an induction -- the intuition of the essence ­-- was to be expressed by a DEFINITION of that essence.

Now let us look more closely at the two procedures.

The maieutic art of Socrates consists, essentially, in asking questions designed to destroy prejudices.

False beliefs which are often traditional or fashionable beliefs.

False answers, given in the spirit of ignorant cocksureness. Socrates himself does not pretend to know.

His attitude is described by Aristotle in the words,

‘Socrates raised questions but gave no answers.

For he confessed that he DID NOT KNOW' (he ignored)

Socrates ignores.
Socrates ignores whether.

Sophist. El., 183b7; cpo Theaetetus, IS0c-d, IS7c, 16Ib.)

Thus Socrates’ maieutic is not an art that aims at teaching any belief, but one that aims at purging or cleansing (cf. the allusion to the Amphidromia in Theaetetus 160e; cpo Phaedo 67b, 69b/ c) the soul of its false beliefs, its seeming knowledge, its prejudices.

 It achieves this by teaching us to doubt our own convictions.

Fundamentally the same procedure is part of Bacon’s induction.

The framework of Bacon’s theory of induction is this.

Bacon  distinguishes in the "Norum Organum between a true method and a false method.

Bacon's name for the true method is ‘interpretatio naturae’, ordinarily translated by the phrase ‘interpretation of nature’, and his name for the false method, ‘anticipatio mentis’, by ‘anticipation of the mind’.

Obvious as these translations may seem, they are misleading.

What Bacon means by ‘interpretatio naturae’ Popper suggests is the reading of, or better still, the spelling out of, the book of Nature.

Galileo, in a famous passage of his "II saggiatore", section 6, of which Mario Bunge has kindly reminded me, speaks of ‘that great book which lies before our eyes -- I mean the universe’.

Cf. Descartes’ Discourse, section 1.

The term ‘interpretatio’ has in modern English a decidedly subjec­tivistic or relativistic tinge.

When we speak of Rudolf Serkin’s interpretation of the Emperor Concerto, we implicate that there are different interpretations, but that this one is Serkin’s.

We do not of course wish to implicate that Serkin’s is not the best, the truest, the nearest to Beethoven’s intentions.

But although we may be unable to imagine that there is a better one, by using the term ‘interpretation’ we imply that there are other interpretations or readings, leaving the question open whether some of these other readings may, or may not, be equally true.

I have here used the word ‘reading’ as a synonym for ‘interpret­ation’, not only because the two meanings are so similar but also because ‘reading’ and ‘to read’ have suffered a modification analogous to that of ‘interpretation’ and ‘to interpret’; except that in the case of ‘reading’ both meanings are still in full use.

In the phrase:

i. I have read John’s letter.

 we have the ordinary, non-subjectivist meaning.

But ‘I read this passage of John’s letter quite differently’ or perhaps ‘My reading of this passage is very different’ may illustrate a later, a subjectivistic or relativistic, meaning of the word ‘reading’.

I assert that the meaning of ‘interpret’ (though not in the sense of ‘translate’) has changed in exactly the same way, except that the ori­ginal meaning -- perhaps ‘reading aloud for those who cannot read themselves’-has been practically lost.

Today, even the phrase

The judge must interpret the law.

means that he has a certain latitude in interpreting it.

While in Bacon’s time it would have meant that the judge had the duty to read the law as it stood, and to expound it and to apply it in the one and only right way.

Interpretatio juris (or legis) means either this or else the expounding of the law to the layman.

Cp. Bacon, De Augmentis VI, xlvi; and 1.

 Manley, The Interpreter: … Obscure Words and Terms used in the Lawes of this Realm, 1672.

 It leaves the legal interpreter no latitude.

At any rate no more than would be allowed to a sworn interpreter translating a legal document.

Thus the translation ‘the interpretation of nature’ is misleading.

It should be replaced by something like ‘the (true) reading of nature’.

Analogous to ‘the true  reading of the law’.

And I suggest that ‘reading the book of Nature as it is’ or better still ‘spelling out the book of Nature’ is what Bacon meant.

The point is that the phrase should suggest the avoidance of all interpretation in the modern sense, and that it should not contain, more especially, any suggestion of an attempt to interpret what is manifest in nature in the light of non-manifest causes or of hypotheses.

For all this would be an anticipatio mentis, in Bacon’s sense.

It is a mistake to ascribe to Bacon the teaching that hypotheses-or conjectures-may result from his method of induction.

For Baconian induction results in knowledge which is certain, rather than in conjecture.)

As to the meaning of ‘anticipatio mentis’ we have only to quote Locke.

Men give themselves up to the first anticipations of their minds’
The Con­duct of the Understanding, 26).

This is, practically, a translation from Bacon; and it makes it amply clear that ‘anticipatio’ means ‘prejudice’ or even ‘super­stition’.

We can also refer to the phrase’ anticipatio deorwn’ which means harbouring nalve or primitive or superstitious views about the gods.

But to make matters still more obvious.

Prejudice’ (cp. Descartes, Princ. I, 50) derives from a legal term, and according to the Oxford English Dictionary it was Bacon who introduced the verb ‘to prejudge’ into the English language, in the sense of ‘to judge adversely in advance’-that is, in violation of the judge’s duty.

Thus the two methods are

 (1) ‘the spelling out of the open book of Nature’, leading to knowledge or episteme, and

(2) ‘the prejudice of the mind that wrongly prejudges, and perhaps misjudges, Nature’, leading to doxa, or mere guesswork, and to the misreading of the book of Nature.

This latter method, rejected by Bacon, is in fact a method of interpretation, in the modern sense of the word.

It is the method of conjecture or hypothesis (a method of which, incidentally, I happen to be a convinced advocate.

How can we prepare ourselves to read the book of Nature properly or truly?

Bacon’s answer is by purging our minds of all anticipations or conjectures or guesses or prejudices (Nov.Org. i, 68, 69 end).

There are various things to be done in order so to purge our minds.

We have to get rid of all sorts of ‘idols’, or generally held false beliefs; for these distort our observations (Nov. Org. i, 97).

But we have also, like Socrates, to look out for all sorts of counter-instances by which to destroy our prejudices concerning the kind of thing whose true essence or nature we wish to ascertain.

Like Socrates, we must, by purifying our intel­lects, prepare our souls to face the eternal light of essences or natures (cf. St Augustine, Civ. Dei, VIII, 3).

Our impure prejudices must be exorcized by the invocation of counter-instances (Nov.Org. ii, 16 ff.).

Only after our souls have been cleansed in this way may we begin the work of spelling out diligently the open book of Nature, the manifest truth.

In view of all this I suggest that Baconian and also Aristotelian  induction is the same, fundamentally, as Socratic maieutic; that is to say, the preparation of the mind by cleansing it of prejudices, in order to enable it to recognize the manifest truth, or to read the open book of Nature.

Descartes’ method of systematic doubt is also fundamentally the same: it is a method of destroying all false prejudices of the mind, in order to arrive at the unshakeable basis of self-evident truth.

We can now see more clearly how, in this optimistic epistemology, the state of knowledge is the natural or the pure state of man, the state of the innocent eye which can see the truth, while the state of ignor­ance has its source in the injury suffered by the innocent eye in man’s fall from grace; an injury which can be partially healed by a course of purification.

And we can see more clearly why this epistemology, not only in Descartes’ but also in Bacon’s form, remains essentially a religious doctrine in which the source of all knowledge is divine authority.

One might say that, encouraged by the divine ‘essences’ or divine ‘natures’ of Plato, and by the traditional Greek opposition between the truthfulness of nature and the deceitfulness of man-made convention, Bacon substitutes, in his epistemology, ‘Nature’ for ‘God’.

This may be the reason why we have to purify ourselves before we may approach the goddess Natura: when we have purified our minds, even our some­times unreliable senses (held by Plato to be hopelessly impure) will be pure.

The sources of knowledge must be kept pure, because any impurity may become a source of IGNORANCE.

In spite of the religious character of their epistemologies, Bacon’s and Descartes’ attacks upon prejudice, and upon traditional beliefs which we carelessly or recklessly harbour, are clearly anti-authoritarian and anti-traditionalist.

For they require us to shed all beliefs except those whose truth we have perceived ourselves.

And their attacks were cer­tainly intended to be attacks upon authority and tradition.

They were part of the war against authority which it was the fashion of the time to wage, the war against the authority of Aristotle and the tradition of the schools.

Men do not need such authorities if they can perceive the truth themselves.

But I do not think that Bacon and Descartes succeeded in freeing their epistemologies from authority; not so much because they appealed to religious authority-to Nature or to God-but for an even deeper reason.

In spite of their individualistic tendencies, they did not dare to appeal to our critical judgment-to your judgment, or to mine; perhaps because they felt that this might lead to subjectivism and to arbitrariness.

Yet whatever the reason may have been, they certainly were unable to give up thinking in terms of authority, much as they wanted to do so.

They could only replace one authority-that of Aristotle and the Bible-by another.

Each of them appealed to a new authority; the one to the authority of the senses, and the other to the authority of the intellect.

This means that they failed to solve the great problem.

How can we admit that our knowledge is a human-an all too human-affair, without at the same time implying that it is all individual whim and arbitrariness?

Yet this problem had been seen and solved long before.

First, it appears, by Xenophanes, and then by Democritus, and by Socrates (the Socrates of the Apology rather than of the Meno).

The solution lies in the realization that all of us may and often do err, singly and collectively, but that this very idea of error and human fallibility involves another one-the idea of objective truth: the standard which we may fall short of.

Thus the doctrine of fallibility should not be regarded as part of a pessimistic epistemology.

This doctrine implies that we may seek for truth, for objective truth, though more often than not we may miss it by a wide margin.

And it implies that if we respect truth, we must search for it by persistently searching for our errors: by indefatigable rational criticism, and self-criticism.

Erasmo of Rotterdam attempted to revive this Socratic doctrine, ­the important though unobtrusive doctrine,

Know thyself, and thus admit to thyself how little thou knowest.

Yet Erasmo's doctrine was swept away by the belief that truth is manifest, and by the new self-assurance exemplified and taught in different ways by Luther and Calvin, by Bacon and Descartes.

It is important to realize, in this connection, the difference between Cartesian doubt and the doubt of Socrates, or Erasmo, or Montaigne.

While Socrates doubts human knowledge or wisdom, and remains firm in his rejection of any pretension to knowledge or wisdom, Des­cartes doubts everything-but only to end up with the possession of absolutely certain knowledge.

Descartes finds that his universal doubt would lead him to doubt the truthfulness of God, which is absurd.

Having proved that universal doubt is absurd, he concludes that we can know securely, that we can be wise-by distinguishing, in the natural light of reason, between clear and distinct ideas whose source is God, and all other ideas whose source is our own impure imagination.

Cartesian doubt, we see, is merely a maieutic instrument for establishing a cri­terion of truth and, with it, a way to secure knowledge and wisdom.

Yet for the Socrates of the Apology, wisdom consisted in the awareness of our limitations; in knowing how little we know, everyone of us.

It was this doctrine of an essential human fallibility which Nicola di Cusa and Erasmo of Rotterdam (who refers to Socrates) revived.

And it was this ‘humanist’ doctrine (in contradistinction to the optimistic doctrine on which Milton relied, the doctrine that truth will prevail) which Nicola and Erasmo, Montaigne and Locke and Voltaire, fol­lowed by Mill and Bertrand Russell, made the basis of the doctrine of tolerance.

‘What is tolerance?’ asks Voltaire in his Philo­sophical Dictionary.

He answers: ‘It is a necessary consequence of our humanity.

We are all fallible, and prone to error; let us then pardon each other’s follies.

This is the first principle of natural right.

More recently the doctrine of fallibility has been made the basis of a theory of political freedom; that is, freedom from coercion.

See F. A. Hayek, The Constitution of Liberty.

Bacon and Descartes set up observation and reason as new authorities, and they set them up within each individual man. But in doing so they split man into two parts, into a higher part which had authority with respect to truth-Bacon’s observations, Descartes’ intellect-and a lower part. It is this lower part which constitutes our ordinary selves, the old Adam in us. For it is always ‘we ourselves’ who are alone responsible for error, if truth is manifest.

It is we, with our prejudices, our negligence, our pigheadedness, who are to blame; it is we ourselves who are the sources of our ignorance.

Thus we are split into a human part, we ourselves, the part which is the source of our fallible opinions (doxa), of our errors, and of our ignorance; and a super-human part, such as the senses or the intellect, the· sources of real knowledge (episteme), whose authority over us is almost divine.

But this will not do.

For we know that Descartes’ physics, admirable as it was in many ways, was mistaken.

Yet it was based only upon ideas which, he thought, were clear and distinct, and which therefore should have been true.

And as to the authority of the senses as sources of knowledge, the fact that the senses are not reliable was known to the ancients even before Parmenides, for example to Xenophanes and Heraclitus; and of course to Democritus and to Plato. (Cp. pp. 222 f, below.)

It is strange that this teaching of antiquity could be almost ignored by modern empiricists, including phenomenalists and positivists; yet it is ignored in most of the problems posed by positivists and phenom­enalists, and in the solutions they offer.

The reason is this.

They believe that it is not our senses that err, but that it is always we ourselves who err in our interpretation of what is  given to us by our senses.

Our senses tell the truth, but we may err, for example, when we try to put into language–conventional, man-made, imperfect language-what they tell us.

 It is our linguistic description which is faulty because it may be tinged with prejudice.

So our man-made language was at fault.

But then it was discovered that our language too was given to us, in an important sense: that it embodied the wisdom and experience of many generations, and that it should not be blamed if we misused it.

So Ordinary Language, in Austin's parlance, too became a truthful authority that could never deceive us.

If we fall into temptation and use language in vain, then it is we who are to blame for the trouble that ensues.

For language is a jealous bod and will not hold him guiltless that taketh his words in vain, but will throw him into darkness and confusion.

By blaming us, and our language or misuse of language, it is possible to uphold the divine authority of the senses and even of Language.

But it is possible only at the cost of widening the gap between this authority and ourselves.

Between the pure sources from which we can obtain an authoritative knowledge of the truthful god­dess Nature, and our impure and guilty selves: between God and man.

As indicated before, this idea of the truthfulness of Nature which can be discerned in Bacon, derives from the Greeks.

For it is part of the classical opposition between "nature" (physis) and human convention ("nomos", "thesis") which, according to Plato, is due to Pindar; which may be discerned in Parmenides; and which is identified by him, and by some Sophists (for example, by Hippias) and partly also by Plato himself, with the oppo­sition between divine truth and human error, or even falsehood.

After Bacon, and under his influence, the idea that nature is divine and truthful, and that all error or falsehood is due to the deceitfulness of our own human conventions, continued to playa major role not only in the history of philosophy, of science, and of politics, but also in that of the visual arts.

This may be seen, for example, from Constable’s most interesting theories on nature, veracity, prejudice, and convention, quoted in E. H. Gombrich’s "Art and Illusion."

It also played a role in the history of literature, and even in that of music.

Can the strange view that the truth of a statement may be decided upon by inquiring into its sources-that is to say its origin-be explained as due to some logical mistake which might be cleared up?

Or can we do no better than explain it in terms of religious beliefs, or in psycho­logical terms-referring perhaps to parental authority?

It is indeed possible to discern here a logical mistake which is connected with the close analogy between the meaning of our words, or terms, or concepts, and the truth of our statements or propositions.

It is easy to see that the meaning of our words does have some connection with their history or their origin.

A word is, logically con­sidered, a conventional sign; psychologically considered, it is a sign whose meaning is established by usage or custom or association.

Logically considered, its meaning is indeed established by an initial decision-something like a primary definition or convention, a kind of original social contract; and psychologically considered, its meaning was established when we originally learned to use it, when we first formed our linguistic habits and associations.

Thus there is a point in the complaint of the school-boy about the unnecessary artificiality of French in which pain means bread, while English, he feels, is so much more natural and straightforward in calling pain ‘pain’ and bread ‘bread’.

He may understand the conventionality of the usage perfectly well, but he gives expression to the feeling that there is no reason why the original conventions-original for him-should not be binding.

So his mistake may consist merely in forgetting that there can be several equally binding original conventions. But who has not made, implicitly, the same mistake?

Most of us have caught ourselves in a feeling of surprise when we find that in France even little children speak French fluently.

Of course, we smile about our own naivety; but we do not smile about the policeman who discovers that the real name of the man called ‘Samuel Jones’ was ‘John Smith’ -- though here is, no doubt, a last vestige of the magical belief that we gain power over a man or a god or a spirit by gaining knowledge of his real name.

By pronouncing it we can summon or cite him.

Thus there is indeed a familiar as well as a logically defensible sense in which the true or proper meaning of a term is its original mean­ing (etymon).

So that if we understand it, we do so because we learned it correctly-from a true authority, from one who knew the language.

Ideas
that is
DESIGNATIONS OF TERMS OR CONCEPTS/STATEMENTS OF PROPOSITIONS OR THEORIES
may be formulated in

Words, or Assertions
which may be
meaningful/true
and their
meaning/truth
may be reduced, by way of
definitions/derivations
to that of
undefined concepts/primitive propositions (axioms)

The attempt to establish (rather than reduce) by these means their meaning/truth leads to infinite regress

This shows that the problem of the meaning of a word is indeed linked to the problem of the authoritative source, or the origin, of our usage.

It is different with the problem of the truth of a statement of fact, a proposition.

For anybody can make a factual mistake – even in matters on which he should be an authority, such as his own age or the colour of a thing which he has just this moment clearly and distinctly per­ceived.

And as to origins, a statement may easily have been false when it was first made, and first properly understood.

A word, on the other hand, must have had a proper meaning as soon as it was ever understood.

If we thus reflect upon the difference between the ways in which the meaning of words and the truth of statements is related to their ori­gins, we are hardly tempted to think that the question of origin can have much bearing on the question of knowledge or of truth.

There is, however, a deep analogy between meaning and truth; and there is a philosophical view -- Essentialism -- which tries to link meaning and truth so closely that the temptation to treat both in the same way becomes almost irresistible.

In order to explain this briefly, we may once more contemplate our table of Ideas, noting the relation between its two sides.

How are the two sides of this table connected?

A definition is a kind of statement or theory or proposition, and therefore one of those things which stand on the right side of our table.

This fact, incidentally, does not spoil the symmetry of our table ofIdeas; for derivations also tran­scend the kind of thing-statements, etc.-which stand on the side where the word ‘derivation’ occurs.

Just as a definition is formulated by a special kind of sequence of words rather than by a word, so a derivation is formulated by a special kind of sequence of statements rather than by a statement.)

The fact that a definition is nevertheless a  statement suggests that somehow they may form a link.

That they do this is, indeed, part of that philosophic doctrine to which I have given the name’ essentialism’.

According to essentialism, especially Aristotle’s version of it, a definition is a statement of the inherent essence or nature of a thing.

At the same time, it states the meaning of a word-of the name that designates the essence.

For example, Descartes, and also Kant, hold that the word ‘body’ designates something that is, essentially, extended.

Moreover, Aristotle and all other essentialists held that definitions are ‘principles’; that is to say, they yield primitive propositions (example: ‘All bodies are extended’) which cannot be derived from other proposi­tions, and which form the basis, or are part of the basis, of every demonstration.

They thus form the basis of every science.

Cf. my Open Society, especially notes 27 to 33 to chapter 11.

It should be noted that this particular tenet, though an important part of the essentialist creed, is free of any reference to ‘essences’.

This explains why it was accepted by some nominalistic opponents of essentialism such as Hobbes or, say, Schlick, Erkenntnislehre.

I think we have now the means at our disposal by which we can explain the logic of the view that questions of origin may decide ques­tions of factual truth.

For if origins can determine the true meaning of a term or word, then they can determine the true definition of an important idea, and therefore some at least of the basic ‘principles’ which are descriptions of the essences or natures of things and which underlie our demonstrations and consequently our scientific knowledge.

So it will then appear that there are authoritative sources of our knowledge.

Yet we must realize that essentialism is mistaken in suggesting that definitions can add to our knowledge of facts (although qua decisions about conventions they may be influenced by our knowledge of facts, and although they create instruments which may in their turn influence the formation of our theories and thereby the evolution of our knowledge of facts).

Once we see that definitions never give any factual knowledge about nature, or about the nature of things -- de natura --, we also see the break in the logical link between the problem of origin and that of factual truth which some essentialist philosophers tried to forge.

Popper then goes on to  leave all these largely historical reflections aside, and turn to the problems themselves, and to their solution.

This part of my lecture might be described as an attack on empiricism, as formulated for example in the following classical statement of Hume’s.

If I ask you why you believe any particular matter of fact you must tell me some reason.

And this reason will be some other fact, connected with it.

But as you cannot proceed after this manner, ad infini­tum, you must at last terminate in some fact, which is present to your memory or senses.

Or must allow that your belief is entirely without foundation.

Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding, Section v, Part I; Selby­Bigge, p. 46; see also my epigraph, taken from Section vii, Part I; p. 62.

The problem of the validity of empiricism may be roughly put as follows: is observation the ultimate source of our knowledge of nature?

And if not, what are the sources of our knowledge?

These questions remain, whatever I may have said about Bacon, and even ifI should have managed to make those parts of his philosophy on which I have commented somewhat unattractive for Baconians and for other empiricists.

The problem of the source of our knowledge has recently been restated as follows.

If we make an assertion, we must justify it; but this means that we must be able to answer the following questions.

‘How do you know?

What are the sources of your assertion?’

This, the empiricist holds, amounts in its turn to the question, ‘What observations (or memories of observations) underlie your assertion?’

I find this string of questions quite unsatisfactory.


First of all, most of our assertions are not based upon observations, but upon all kinds of other sources.

i. I read it in The Times.

Or perhaps:

ii. I read it in the Encyclopaedia Britannica.

is a more likely and a more definite answer to the question

‘How do you know?’ than

iii. I have observed it.

iv. I know it from an observation I made last year.

But, the empiricist will reply, how do you think that The Times or the Encyclopaedia Britannica got their information?

Surely, if you only carry on your inquiry long enough, you will end up with reports of the observa­tions of eye-witnesses (sometimes called “protocol sentences” or-by yourself-H basic statements”).

Admittedly’, the empiricist will con­tinue, ‘books are largely made from other books.

Admittedly, a histor­ian, for example, will work from documents.

But ultimately, in the last analysis, these other books, or these documents, must have been based upon observations.

Otherwise they would have to be described as poetry, or invention, or lies, but not as testimony.

It is in this sense that we empiricists assert that observation must be the ultimate source of our knowledge.’

Here we have the empiricist’s case, as it is still put by some of my positivist friends.

I shall try to show that this case is as little valid as Bacon’s; that the answer to the question of the sources of knowledge goes against the empiricist; and, finally, that this whole question of ultimate sources­sources to which one may appeal, as one might to a higher court or a higher authority-must be rejected as based upon a mistake.

First, Popper wants to show that if you actually went on questioning "The Times" and its correspondents about the sources of their knowledge, you would in fact never arrive at all those observations by eyewitnesses in the existence of which the empiricist believes.

You would find, rather, that with every single step you take, the need for further steps increases in snowball-like fashion.

Take as an example the sort of assertion for which reasonable people might simply accept as sufficient the answer

i. I read it in The Times.

Lt us say the assertion

ii. The Prime Minister has decided to return to London several days ahead of schedule.

Now assume for a moment that somebody doubts this assertion, or feels the need to investigate its truth.

What shall he do?

If he has a friend in the Prime Minister’s office, the simplest and most direct way would be to ring him up.

And if this friend corroborates the message, then that is that.

In other words, the investigator will, if possible, try to check, or to examine, the asserted fact itself, rather than trace the source of the informa­tion.

But according to the empiricist theory, the assertion

i. I have read it in The Times.

is merely a first step in a justification procedure consisting in tracing the ultimate source.

What is the next step?

There are at least two next steps.

One would be to reflect that

i. I have read it in The Times.

is also an assertion, and that we might ask

iv. What is the source of your knowledge that you read it in The Times and not, say, in a paper looking very similar to The Times?

The other is to ask The Times for the sources of its knowledge.

The answer to the first question may be:

v. But we have only The Times on order and we always get it in the morn­ing.

-- which gives rise to a host of further questions about sources which we shall not pursue.

The second question may elicit from the editor of The Times the answer:

vii. We had a telephone call from the Prime Minister’s Office.

Now according to the empiricist procedure, we should at this stage ask next:

viii. Who is the gentleman who received the telephone call?

and then get his observation report.

But we should also have to ask that gentleman:

ix. What is the source of your knowledge that the voice you heard came from an official in the Prime Minister’s office?

 and so on.

---

There is a simple reason why this tedious sequence of questions never comes to a satisfactory conclusion.

It is this.

Every witness must always make ample use, in his report, of his knowledge of persons, places, things, linguistic usages, social conventions, and so on.

He can­not rely merely upon his eyes or ears, especially if his report is to be of use in justifying any assertion worth justifying.

But this fact must of course always raise new questions as to the sources of those elements of his knowledge which are not immediately observational.

This is why the programme of tracing back all knowledge to its ultimate source in observation is logically impossible to carry through.

It leads to an infinite regress.

The doctrine that truth is manifest cuts off the regress.

This is interesting because it may help to explain the attractiveness of that doctrine.

Popper wishes to mention that this argument is closely related to another-that all observation involves interpretation in the light of our theoretical knowledge, [8. See Popper's Logic of Scientific Discovery, last paragraph of section 25, and new appendix.

For an anticipation by Mark Twain of Popper's Times argument, see p. 557 below. or that pure observational know­ledge, unadulterated by theory, would, if at all possible, be utterly barren and futile.

The most striking thing about the observationalist programme of asking for sources, apart from its tediousness, is its stark violation of common sense.

For if we are doubtful about an assertion, then the normal procedure is to test it, rather than to ask for its sources; and if we find independent corroboration, then we shall often accept the assertion without bothering at all about sources.

Of course there are cases in which the situation is different.

Testing an historical assertion always means going back to sources, but not, as a rule, to the reports of eyewitnesses.

Clearly, no historian will accept the evidence of documents uncriti­cally.

There are problems of genuineness, there are problems of bias, and there are also such problems as the reconstruction of earlier sources.

There are, of course, also problems such as: was the writer present when these events happened?

But this is not one of the charac­teristic problems of the historian.

He may worry about the reliability of a report, but he will rarely worry about whether or not the writer of a document was an eyewitness of the event in question, even assuming that this event was of the nature of an observable event.

A letter saying:

i. I changed my mind yesterday on this question.

may be most valuable historical evidence, even though changes of mind are unobservable -- and even though we may conjecture, in view of other evidence, that the writer was lying.

As to eyewitnesses, they are important almost exclusively in a court of law where they can be cross-examined.

As most lawyers know, eye­witnesses often err.

This has been experimentally investigated, with the most striking results.

Witnesses most anxious to describe an event as it happened are liable to make scores of mistakes, especially if some exciting things happen in a hurry; and if an event suggests some tempt­ing interpretation, then this interpretation, more often than not, is allowed to distort what has actually been seen.

Hume’s view of historical knowledge was different.

We believe’, Home writes in the Treatise (Book I, Part III, Section iv; Selby-Bigge, p. 83, that

ii. Caesar was killed in the Senate House on the ides of March.

because this fact is established on the unanimous testimony of histor­ians, who agree to assign this precise time and place to that event.

Here are certain characters and letters present either to our memory or senses; which characters we likewise remember to have been us’d as the signs of certain ideas; and these ideas were either in the minds of such as were immediately present at that action, and receiv’d the ideas directly from its existence; or they were deriv’d from the testimony of others, and that again from another testimony … ’till we arrive at those who were eye-witnesses and spectators of the event.’ See also Enquiry, Section x; Selby-Bigge, pp. 111 ff.

It seems to me that this view must lead to the infinite regress described above.

For the problem is, of course, whether ‘the unani­mous testimony of historians’ is to be accepted, or whether it is, per­haps, to be rejected as the result of their reliance on a common yet spurious source.

The appeal to ‘letters present to our memory or our senses’ cannot have any bearing on this or on any other relevant pro blem of historiography.

But what, then, are the sources of our knowledge?

The answer, I think, is this.

There are all kinds of sources of our knowledge; but none has authority.

We may say that "The Times" can be a source of knowledge, or the "Encyclopaedia Britannica".

We may say that certain papers in "The Physical Review" about a problem in physics have more authority, and are more of the character of a source, than an article about the same problem in The Times or the Encyclopaedia.

But it would be quite wrong to say that the source of the article in the Physical Review must have been wholly, or even partly, observation.

The source may well be the discovery of an inconsistency in another paper or, say, the discovery of the fact that a hypothesis proposed in another paper could be tested by such and such an experiment; all these non-observational discoveries are ‘sources’ in the sense that they all add to our knowledge.

Popper does not, of course, deny that an experiment may also add to our knowledge, and in a most important manner.

But it is not a source in any ultimate sense. It has always to be checked: as in the example of the news in The Times we do not, as a rule, question the eyewitness of an experiment, but, if we doubt the result, we may repeat the experiment, or ask somebody else to repeat it.

The fundamental mistake made by the philosophical theory of the ultimate sources of our knowledge is that it does not distinguish clearly enough between questions of origin and questions of validity.

Admit­tedly’ in the case of historiography, these two questions may some­times coincide.

The question of the validity of an historical assertion may be testable only, or mainly, in the light of the origin of certain sources.

But in general the two questions are different; and in general we do not test the validity of an assertion or information by tracing its sources or its origin, but we test it, much more directly, by a critical examination of what has been asserted-of the asserted facts themselves.


Thus the empiricist’s questions ‘How do you know? What is the source of your assertion?’ are wrongly put.

They are not formulated in an inexact or slovenly manner, but they are entirely misconceived: they are questions that beg for an authoritarian answer.

The traditional systems of epistemology may be said to result from yes­ answers or no-answers to questions about the sources of our know­ledge.

They never challenge these questions, or dispute their legitimacy; the questions are taken as perfectly natural, and nobody seems to see any harm in them.

This is quite interesting, for these questions are clearly authoritarian in spirit.

They can be compared with that traditional question of political theory, ‘Who should rule?’, which begs for an auth­oritarian answer such as ‘the best’, or ‘the wisest’, or ‘the people’, or ‘the majority’. (It suggests, incidentally, such silly alternatives as ‘Who should be our rulers: the capitalists or the workers?’, analogous to ‘What is the ultimate source of knowledge: the intellect or the senses?’)

This political question is wrongly put and the answers which it elicits are paradoxical, as Popper has tried to show in chapter 7 of my Open Society.

It should be replaced by a completely different question such as ‘How can we organize our political institutions so that bad or incompetent rulers (whom we should try not to get, but whom we so easily might get all the same) cannot do too much damage?’

Only by changing our question in this way can we hope to proceed towards a reasonable theory of political institutions.

The question about the sources of our knowledge can be replaced in a similar way.

It has always been asked in the spirit of: ‘What are the best sources of our knowledge-the most reliable ones, those which will not lead us into error, and those to which we can and must turn, in case of doubt, as the last court of appeal?’

I propose to assume, instead, that no such ideal sources exist-no more than ideal rulers-and that all ‘sources’ are liable to lead us into error at times.

And I propose to replace, therefore, the question of the sources of our knowledge by the entirely different question.

How can we hope to detect and eliminate error?

The question of the sources of our knowledge like so many authori­tarian questions, is a genetic one.

It asks for the origin of our knowledge, in the belief that knowledge may legitimize itself by its pedigree.

The nobility of the racially pure knowledge, the untainted knowledge, the knowledge which derives from the highest authority, if possible from God: these are the (often unconscious) metaphysical ideas behind the question.

My modified question, how can we hope to detect error?, may be said to derive from the view that such pure, untainted and certain sources do not exist, and that questions of origin or of purity should not be confounded with questions of validity, or of truth.

This view may be said to be as old as Xenophanes.

Xenophanes knew that our knowledge is guesswork, opinion—–cloxa rather than episteme-as shown by his verses:

The gods did not reveal, from the beginning, all things to us; but in the course of time.

Through seeking we may learn, and know things better.

But as for certain truth, no man has known it.

Nor will he know it; neither of the gods,

Nor yet of all the things of which I speak.

And even if by chance he were to utter the perfect truth, he would himself not know it.

For all is but a woven web of guesses.

Yet the traditional question of the authoritative sources of knowledge is repeated even today-and very often by positivists and by other philosophers who believe themselves to be in revolt against authority.

The proper answer to the question, how can we hope to detect and eliminate error?, is:

We hope to detect and eliminate error by criticizing the theories or guesses of others and -- if we can train ourselves to do so -- by criticizing our own theories or guesses.’

The latter point is highly desirable, but not indispensable.

For if we fail to criticize our own theories, there may be others to do it for us.

This answer sums up a position which Popper proposes to call  Critical rationalism.

It is a view, an attitude, and a tradition, which we owe to the Ancient Greeks.

It is very different from the Rationalism or ‘intellectualism’ of Descartes and his school, and very different even from the epistemology of Kant.

Yet in the field of ethics, of moral knowledge, it was approached by Kant with his principle of autonomy.

This principle expresses his realization that we must not accept the com­mand of an authority, however exalted, as the basis of ethics.

For whenever we are faced with a command by an authority, it is for us to judge, critically, whether it is moral or immoral to obey.

The authority may have power to enforce its commands, and we may be powerless to resist.

But if we have the physical power of choice, then the ultimate responsibility remains with us.

It is our own critical decision whether to obey a command; whether to submit to an authority.

Kant boldly carried this idea into the field of religion.

In what­ever way tthe Deity should be made known to you, and even if He should reveal Himself to you: it is you who must judge whether you are permitted to believe in Him, and to worship Him. ‘

"Religion Within the Limits of Pure Reason".

In view of this bold statement, it seems strange that in his phil­osophy of science Kant did not adopt the same attitude of critical rationalism, of the critical search for error.

I feel certain that it was only his acceptance of the authority of Newton’s cosmology-a result of its almost unbelievable success in passing the most severe tests-which pre­vented Kant from doing so.

If this interpretation of Kant is correct, then the critical rationalism (and also the critical empiricism) which I advo­cate merely puts the finishing touch to Kant’s own critical philosophy.

And this was made possible by Einstein, who taught us that Newton’s theory may well be mistaken in spite of its overwhelming success.

So my answer to the questions

‘How do you *know*? What is the source or the basis of your assertion? What observations have led you to it?’ would be:

I do not *know*.

My assertion was merely a guess.

Never mind the source, or the sources, from which it may spring-there are many possible sources, and I may not be aware of half of them; and origins or pedigrees have in any case little bearing upon truth.

But if you are interested in the problem which I tried to solve by my tentative assertion, you may help me by criticizing it as severely as you can.

And if you can design some experimental test which you think might refute my assertion, I shall gladly, and to the best of my powers, help you to refute it.’

This answer applies, strictly speaking, only if the question is asked about some scientific assertion as distinct from an historical one.

If my conjecture was an historical one, sources (in the non-ultimate sense) will of course come into the critical discussion of its validity.

Yet fundamentally, my answer will be the same, as we have seen.

It is high time now, I think, to formulate the epistemological results of this discussion.

I will put them in the form of theses.

There are no ultimate sources of knowledge.

Every source, every suggestion, is welcome; and every source, every suggestion, is open to critical examination.

Except in history, we usually examine the facts themselves rather than the sources of our information.

The proper epistemological question is not one about sources; rather, we ask whether the assertion made is true-that is to say, whether it agrees with the facts.

That we may operate, without getting involved in antinomies, with the idea of objective truth in the sense of correspondence to the facts, has been shown by the work of Alfred Tarski.

And we try to find this out, as well as we can, by examining or testing the assertion itself, either in a direct way, or by examining or testing its consequences.

In connection with this examination, all kinds of arguments may be relevant.

A typical procedure is to examine whether our theories are consistent with our observations.

But we may also examine, for example, whether our historical sources are mutually and internally consistent.

Quantitatively and qualitatively by far the most important source of our knowledge-apart from inborn knowledge-is tradition.

Most things we know we have learnt by example, by being told, by reading books, by learning how to criticize, how to take and to accept criticism, how to respect truth.

The fact that most of the sources of our knowledge are traditional condemns anti-traditionalism as futile.

But this fact must not be held to support a traditionalist attitude.

Every bit of our traditional knowledge (and even our inborn knowledge) is open to critical examination and may be overthrown.

Nevertheless, without tradition, knowledge would be impossible.

Knowledge cannot start from nothing, from a tabula rasa, nor yet from observation.

The advance of knowledge consists, mainly, in the modification of earlier knowledge.

Although we may sometimes, for example in archaeology, advance through a chance observation, the significance of the discovery will usually depend upon its power to modify our earlier theories.

Pessimistic and optimistic epistemologies are about equally mis­taken.

The pessimistic cave story of Plato is the true one, and not his optimistic story of anamnesis (even though we should admit that all men, like all other animals, and even all plants, possess inborn knowledge).

But although the world of appearances is indeed a world of mere shadows on the walls of our cave, we all constantly reach out beyond it; and although, as Democritus said, the truth is hidden in the deep, we can probe into the deep.

There is no criterion of truth at our dis­posal, and this fact supports pessimism.

But we do possess criteria which, if we are lucky, may allow us to recognize error and falsity.

Clarity and distinctness are not criteria of truth, but such things as obscurity or confusion may indicate error.

Similarly coherence cannot establish truth, but incoherence and inconsistency do establish false­hood.

And, when they are recognized, our own errors provide the dim red lights which help us in groping our way out of the darkness of our cave.

Neither observation nor reason is an authority.

Intellectual in­tuition and imagination are most important, but they are not reliable.

They may show us things very clearly, and yet they may mislead us.

They are indispensable as the main sources of our theories; but most of our theories are false anyway.

The most important function of observa­tion and reasoning, and even of intuition and imagination, is to help us in the critical examination of those bold conjectures which are the means by which we probe into the unknown.

Although clarity is valuable in itself, exactness or precision is not: there can be no point in trying to be more precise than our problem demands.

Linguistic precision is a phantom, and problems connected with the meaning or definition of words are unimportant.

Thus our table of Ideas in spite of its symmetry, has an important and an unimportant side.

While the left-hand side (words and their mean­ings) is unimportant, the right-hand side (theories and the problems connected with their truth) is all-important.

Words are significant only as instruments for the formulation of theories, and verbal problems are tiresome.

They should be avoided at all cost.

Every solution of a problem raises new unsolved problems.

The more so the deeper the original problem and the bolder its solution.

The more we learn about the world, and the deeper our learning, the more conscious, specific, and articulate will be our knowledge of what we do not know, our knowledge of our IGNORANCE.

For this, indeed, is the main source of our IGNORANCE: the fact that our knowledge can be only finite, while our IGNORANCE must necessarily be infinite.

We may get a glimpse of the vastness of our IGNORANCE when we contemplate the vastness of the heavens.

Though the mere size of the universe is not the deepest cause of our ignorance, it is one of its causes.

Ramsey writes in "Foundations of Mathematics":

Where I seem to differ from some of my friends is in attaching little importance to physical size, I don’t feel in the least humble before the vastness of the heavens.

The stars may be large but they cannot think or love.

And these are qualities which impress me far more than size does.

 I take no credit for weighing nearly seventeen stone.

Popper suspects that Ramsey’s friends would have agreed with him about the insignificance of sheer physical size.

And Popper suspects that if Ramsey's friends felt humble before the vastness of the heavens, this was because they saw in it a "symbol" of their IGNORANCE.

Popper holds that it would be worth trying to learn something about the world even if in trying to do so we should merely learn that we do not know much.

This state of learned IGNORANCE might be a help in many of our troubles.

It might be well for all of us to remember that, while differing widely in the various little bits we know, in our infinite ignorance we are all equal.

There is a last question I wish to raise.

If only we look for it we can often find a true idea, worthy of being preserved, in a philosophical theory which must be rejected as false.

Can we find an idea like this in one of the theories of the ultimate sources of our knowledge?

I believe we can; and I suggest that it is one of the two main ideas which underlie the doctrine that the source of all our knowledge is super-natural.

The first of these ideas is false, I believe, while the second is true.

The first, the false idea, is that we must justify our knowledge, or our theories, by positive reasons, that is, by reasons capable of establishing them, or at least of making them highly probable; at any rate, by better reasons than that they have so far withstood criticism.

This idea implies, I suggest, that we must appeal to some ultimate or authorita­tive source of true knowledge; which still leaves open the character of that authority-whether it is human, like observation or reason, or super-human, and therefore super-natural.

The second idea-whose vital importance has been stressed by Russell-is that no man’s authority can establish truth by decree; that we should submit to truth; that truth is above human authority.

Taken together these two ideas almost immediately yield the conclu­sion that the sources from which our knowledge derives must be super-human; a conclusion which tends to encourage self­righteousness and the use of force against those who refuse to see the divine truth.

Some who rightly reject this conclusion do not, unhappily, reject the first idea-the belief in the existence of ultimate sources of knowledge. Instead they reject the second idea-the thesis that truth is above human authority.

They thereby endanger the idea of the objectivity of knowledge, and of common standards of criticism or rationality.

What we should do, I suggest, is to give up the idea of ultimate sources of knowledge, and admit that all knowledge is human; that it is mixed with our errors, our prejudices, our dreams, and our hopes; that all we can do is to grope for truth even though it be beyond our reach.

We may admit that our groping is often inspired, but we must be on our guard against the belief, however deeply felt, that our inspiration carries any authority, divine or otherwise.

If we thus admit that there is no authority beyond the reach of criticism to be found within the whole province of our knowledge, however far it may have penetrated into the unknown, then we can retain, without danger, the idea that truth is beyond human authority.

And we must retain it.


For without this idea there can be no objective standards of inquiry; no criticism of our conjectures; no groping for the unknown; no quest for knowledge.