"Coincidental": A Griceian Analysis

by JLS
-- for the GC

--- Thanks to Doctorow for his furhter thoughts in "Causation and correlation", this blog. This below from wiki, on correlation does not imply causation. We have discussed, THIS BLOG, with L. J. Kramer the sometimes odd implicatures of "in no particular order" (other than this random one). I submit something similar works for that often otiose remark, in conversation, "Now that IS a concidence!". Here is wiki:

"Coincidence.
Example:

With a decrease in the number of pirates, there has been an increase in global warming over the same period.
___________________

Therefore, global warming is caused by a lack of pirates.

"The example above is used satirically by the parody religion Pastafarianism to illustrate the logical fallacy of assuming that correlation equals causation."

"Since the 1950s, both the atmospheric CO2 level and crime levels have increased sharply.
______________________

Hence, atmospheric CO2 causes crime.

"The above example arguably makes the mistake of prematurely concluding a causal relationship where

the relationship between the variables, if

any, is so complex it may be labeled coincidental."


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Wiki goes on:


"The two events have no simple relationship
to each other beside the fact that they are occurring
at the same time."

--- Which is the etymology of co-incident. As opposed to 'co-accidental' -- as per something like:

"Associated Press"
Shawn King Reportedly Attempted Suicide
Stuart Ramson, AP

"Her dad called 911 on May 28 when he was
unable to wake her. He said it was an accident, but
that may not be case. What letters from her home revealed."

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The wiki goes on:

"Another possible example is the somewhat jocular Mierscheid Law."


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Aristotle's theory of the 'accident' may relate. The phrase, while a technicism in Aristote's modal ontology has widespread. The same with 'co-IN-cidental'?